Ep 349: Brazil’s X ban: What are the implications for the gaming and affiliate marketing industries?
Good afternoon and welcome to the iGaming Daily
brought to you by Optimove, the number one
CRM solution for the iGaming market. And before
we get into today's episode, I want to pay
tribute to one of our speakers at the SBC Summit
who at the weekend captured UFC gold, Mirab
Daravishvili, beat Sugar Sean O'Malley in what
was just a crazy innovative event at the Sphere
in Las Vegas. Yeah, he defied the odds and he
will be coming to the SBC Summit in Lisbon.
as the king of the UFC's bantamweight division.
So very exciting as if the event couldn't get
any more prestigious and alluring UFC gold adds
to the card on next week in Lisbon. And I'm
joined today by Fernando and Isadora from our
Latin American team. Guys, how are you both
doing? Looking forward to next week, Fernando?
Yeah, yeah, very excited. I'll be looking from
the sidelines, unfortunately, but I'll be really,
really into the event and then all that develops
in Lisbon. So I hope everybody gets to enjoy
one of our or the biggest event the company
has done so far and the greatest show in gaming.
So make sure you go to Lisbon next week and
join everybody there. I'm really excited of
what the event is going to be. So yeah. Fantastic.
And Isadora making the journey over, right?
Yep. Yeah, I'm making it. I'm going to be traveling
on Saturday next week. So I'm really excited
to be there. It's my first time in Lisbon too.
So yeah, it will be like Fer said, it's going
to be like, from what we could see, like the
biggest event of the industry. So it's exciting.
It's a bit nervous as well because it was going
to be big, it's like 100,000 square meters and
more than 25 people. So it's a lot of people
and a lot of space. But yeah, I'm really happy
and excited to be there. Yeah. And it sets
a middle backdrop of a really beautiful city
in Lisbon as well. So yeah, very exciting.
But on to today's discussion is, yeah, the banning
of Twitter. It's a really interesting one.
You know, I spoke about it with on the affiliate
day two weeks ago last week. And yeah, really
has just caused a really emotive response this
one. Can you just give us an introduction of
how we got here? And yeah, what kind of who
made this decision and what led to the making
this decision? Okay, so like, just to make it
simple, because it's a bit complicated, but
like, just to make it simple. What happened
was that Alexandre Jimorais, or Supreme Court
Judge, determined that X should actually ban
some profiles in, I cannot say X, I'm going
to say Twitter, some profiles on Twitter from
people that were being investigated by our
Supreme Court judges. But they were all people
that were clearly against the current government.
So Elon Musk actually said that he wouldn't...
block these people because this is censorship.
This is not freedom of speech. And the reason
why he bought Twitter and turning it into X
was to, um, that's what he said, to, to protect
freedom of speech. So, because a lot of profilers
were being shut down in Brazil and, uh, Elon
Musk didn't, uh, no, Alixandro de Moraes really
didn't like that. So he said that he was going
to arrest the reps of Twitter in Brazil. Elon
Musk, in order to protect the employees decided
to shut down the office in Brazil. So Twitter
didn't have a legal representative in Brazil.
And then Elon Musk decided to... Elon Musk,
no. Javier Santos de Moraes decided to ban Twitter
in Brazil. That was basically what happened.
Am I correct in thinking Marais gave them the
company run by Elon Musk, an ultimatum that
they need to hire somebody for this role before
a certain day or Twitter will be outlawed in
Brazil and he didn't do that? Yeah, exactly.
They said that he needed to point out a person
to be the legal representative in Brazil. Elon
Musk didn't do it. So here we are right now,
no Twitter access. Wow, yeah, quite crazy, especially
when you give the scale of Twitter in Brazil.
And just really quickly, just to kind of, you
know, get some insight into something you just
said there, the profiles that were under investigation,
what were those investigations about? Well,
it's a bit weird because they say, look, what's
happening in Brazil right now, it's a bit complicated
because they say that they were being investigated
for sharing misinformation like fake news.
But we don't have this crime in Brazil. It's
not a crime to share fake news. It's not a
crime to lie. So we don't have a crime of opinion
as well. And we have some deputies that are
arrested until now are in jail because of a
crime of opinion. And they use the argument
that is a hate crime, actually. It's a hate
speech. Or it's a speech that leads to hate.
That's why they should be arrested or they should
be blocked. But when you see actually some
of the tweets, it's only their opinion about
certain things that, okay, it could be sometimes
it has like an aggressive tone, the message
when you read, but it's not like a hate speech.
It's not a speech that it's a hate or anything
like that. So it's just like, it's going crazy
because we don't actually know what they're
being accused of. Okay. I guess the other side
of that would be, and I haven't seen the tweets,
but the other side of that... maybe that type
of thing can incite actions of others, maybe,
would be the cause. There would be the potential
reasoning. It could. We don't actually know
because it's like a secret investigation, so
we don't have access to what they're saying.
We just know that they're being accused of
not complying with the rules or posting hate
speech. But again, we don't have a crime of
hate speech. We don't have a crime of opinion.
We don't have a crime for like sharing fake
news and all these people are down basically
for it. So that's our main concern. And I think
if they would go after people that shares misinformation
or makes an opinion based on something that
may not be entirely true to make it like, to
give it a little makeup, they should probably
like go after over half the people on Twitter.
So I think it's a bit ridiculous. Yeah. And
Fernando, Twitter in Brazil is not, you know,
it's not, it wasn't anyway, it wasn't, you
know, a small proportion. It wasn't a small
vertical. It has a huge market share in Brazil,
right? Like such a big percentage of Brazilians
used Twitter to, or X to kind of, you know,
share, share stories and to communicate on digital
platforms. As a marketing tool, In Brazil,
it's massive. Yeah. I think it's, uh, we're
talking in the hundreds of millions of users
here. And, uh, Twitter has become like a major
source of information and communication worldwide,
not only in Brazil. So companies have like going,
going after social media to market and they
are honking, uh, to make their way through.
And, uh, um, so it's really big that they go
after a platform like this and, and. straight
up ban the use of the platform and go after
the people that try to use it, use through VPNs
and stuff like that. They are already, they
said like they would find people with like 10,000
Reais. Is that so Issa? Actually, it's much
more 50,000 PRL. 50,000. So it's $10,000, right?
Yeah, $10,000. Yeah, per day. So it's, you're
real like Diego Maradona said once, they cut
my legs off, you know, when they kicked him
out of the World Cup in the 94. So they are
cutting, not only gambling companies, like
everything, every company, every business, they
are cutting the legs off. Well, yeah, that's
a kind of, is a good segue there really, I guess.
How does this kind of lead to the gambling
industry? Obviously there's gonna be a lot of
companies eyeing the Brazilian market now,
they're looking to move in there. How is this
going to impact their strategies when it comes
to engaging with players and acquiring new players?
Well, I see Twitter as the most interactive
platform out there, much more than Instagram,
much more than Facebook, or even threads that
I don't think it catch so well. Like a lot of,
I think a lot of people is there, but they're
not using it so much. And Twitter has a very
great form of interaction. So once you cut
that, you're not only cut the interaction between
the company and the players, but you cannot
do like ads anymore in Twitter that we know
it's a huge thing and we know they have a very
good rate conversion. You cannot promote anymore,
like, or share your bonuses or your tips for
players or. or share the exclusive news that
the company has or the new ambassador of the
brand. And when you cannot do that, you cannot
actually reach these customers, because especially
in Brazil, we have a lot of sports betting companies
on Twitter, on Instagram. But it's not the
same. You don't see the same interaction, the
same engagement that you see on Twitter. And
it's not only with gambling. It's with every
single store or brand that isn't on Twitter.
You have a very good rate conversion when you
promote your business there. Different than
when you do that on Instagram. Yeah, that's
really interesting. Fernando, I'll bring you
in there. This is going to affect gambling,
right? Yeah, definitely. Because you may think,
okay, so Twitter is out, let's go to Instagram,
let's go to TikTok or ChikChoki. as Brazilians
would call it. So, but not everyone, it's not
the same audience as, or not the same user
base as Twitter had. Like Twitter is more of
a broader audience. Like everyone is using
Twitter, like from the young people to the older
ones. And maybe TikTok is for like more of
a youth audience and Instagram is more of a
young or younger. mid-age audience. So they
really have to like balance things out and start
assessing how to target different types of
audiences through these platforms. Like let's
go to Instagram and try to do like advertise
for some crowds. And I don't think, I don't
see them going big on TikTok because like I
said, it's more of a, for the youngest side
of the audience probably. even though I am
a big advocate of TikTok. Yeah, I'm not even
sure if you're allowed to market gambling on
TikTok. I think regulations restrict gambling
operators from advertising on TikTok. Yeah,
because of the reasons you say it's used by
a much younger generation and also, yeah, I
think a much younger generation engaged with
TikTok. So I don't think you're allowed. And
yeah, the complexities around that from a compliance
point of view would be very difficult because
of the young audience. So you'd have to prove
that you don't, you aren't trying to appeal
to them. I guess the other side of the coin
for the gambling industry is kind of the principles
of it. When I was on the SBC Digital Affiliate
Marketing Day two weeks ago, we did discuss
this and Carlos Sanchez, the CEO at Tips to
Chat has kind of said that it may well act
as a warning for the industry that. If governments
can take this type of action, if they can be
restrictive with platforms, it's X today, Twitter
today, but what could it be tomorrow? There
will be nervousness that it could be other platforms
in the future if they aren't taking the exact
steps that the government wants. That's a very
dangerous game, right? I believe it is 100%.
As a journalist, 100% freedom of speech. fan.
So I think people should be allowed to say
anything they want. And if they commit a crime,
when they say something, then they will face
the consequences and, you know, do what they
can face what they have to face. But you cannot,
like, censorship someone before they give a
speech or a platform before. So nobody can
go there and say what they actually this is
like. a witch hunt, that's what we see, and
that's how we call it, because actually they
cannot do that. The Supreme Court in Brazil
cannot do these kinds of things. And what we
are seeing in the past few years is our Supreme
Court just throwing our Constitution in the
trash and not following Constitution rules.
So this, what's happening right now, it's not
legal, it's illegal, but nobody's doing anything.
We see that the Congress doesn't do anything.
We see, and it's the only, like, the Congress
has the only people that could actually do something
to stop this, and they're not doing it. So,
yeah, it's really dangerous because, like I
said, you don't know what's going to happen
tomorrow. Today's Twitter, tomorrow could be
Instagram, and then could be Facebook, and
then could, if you don't comply with or Supreme
Court desires, let's put it that way, because
it's not a law. that he's asking to be followed.
It's just like what he wants. So it's really
dangerous because it gives you a lot of like
legal insecurity because you don't know what's
gonna happen. And this actually could stop companies
from coming to Brazil. Like, okay, I'm not
gonna open an office in Brazil. I'm not gonna
set up everything, pay the license of 30 million
VRL and pay EGGR. and have a cash like five
million BRL in cash in a different account
that I need to have in order to pay prizes,
let's say, that I don't have this amount of
money. So I have this another bank account with
this money in case this happens. And I'm not
going to do that because I'm not going to know
what's going to happen next. So why am I, you
know, like investing all of this money in a
country that I don't know what's going to...
tell me to do next that could harm my businesses.
Yeah, it certainly adds a level of volatility
to the market. And one of the things that was
kind of said was that, you know, there had
been affiliates in the region that after this
and also similarly of a similar principle after,
you know, Telegram was banned in various, various
regions, not in Brazil, I don't believe, but
I could be wrong there. But Telegram, you know,
kind of suffered this regulatory clampdown.
Off the back of both of those decisions, affiliates
from a lot of areas and tipsters from a lot
of areas were lost. They didn't know where to
go. They kind of needed a new avenue. So it
certainly does create a level of volatility
in the market. Yeah, and Fernando, Elon Musk,
he's obviously, you know, he's a little bit
maverick. He's a little bit out there. He doesn't
mince his words. I'm sure he's not mincing his
words on this one, right? Yeah, he's a very,
of course there's a big political component
to this whole thing. Like Elon Musk has been
a big advocate for, for Donald Trump or for,
for a more of a right wing side of the polity
of the politic landscape in general, worldwide.
Like he's backed president Javier Millay from
Argentina. He's backed of course, Donald Trump's
campaign in the U S and he's been very vocal
against Lula da Silva. So. who is president
of Brazil, in case you don't know guys. But
yeah, I think that makes a very big component
to this whole thing because probably if Elon
Musk weren't the guy he is, like he didn't have
the personality he has, he wouldn't act like
he usually does and post everything he posts,
especially those messages against the Brazilian
government. Probably... there would be a different
approach to this whole process. Like, there
probably, like Isa said, probably the president
would urge the Congress to act if the Supreme
Court would go after X and he would try probably
to be more conciliatory, like to bring both
parties together. So probably- It is political.
Yeah, yeah, it's very political. Of course,
everything is political really in life. and
especially in business. But yeah, I think probably
Elon Musk and his personality and how he usually
acts on social media can bring this type of
things. But then of course, we are left to assess
each one of us can have their own opinion on
this, but it can have a very negative impact
of course in the... in freedom of speech, in
freedom of the usage of internet and a whole
lot of things. Elon Musk is posting some memes
regarding Lula, the relationship between Lula
the president and Alexandre the Supreme Court
judge and it's very offensive. So it's like,
but I mean, again, it's offensive but it's
freedom of speech. So like, it's funny to see
because when he started Morais, but Lula went
to his Instagram account and said that no billionaires
are above Brazilian law. But Alexandre de Morais
is not a billionaire and he is above the law
because he's doing things that are not contemplating
our constitution. So like Fer said, it was perfect.
It is 100% political. All the situation, it
is political. I guess the kind of political
back and forth, the fact it's being a kind
of uses a political football.
The tongue-in-cheek Elon Musk response, as you
mentioned there, which is only going to inflame
the situation. What really matters is the ripple
effect this is going to have on businesses
in Brazil. I want to bring it back to that because
there will be just a myriad, I think, was it,
114, 113 companies that registered. to be part
of the Brazilian framework, and it will be
more than that as well. They are currently right
now, they're having this blueprint for their
marketing strategy to go into the Brazilian
market and to tap into a Brazilian audience.
How much are they gonna have to change what
they do and change that marketing strategy,
knowing not just that X isn't there anymore,
that Twitter isn't there anymore? but also
knowing that there's kind of this level of volatility
that the government will take action like this.
I would say that they will have to change 100
percent because including like the focus of
each social media is different. Like Twitter
is text, basically. You focus on text and interation.
So it's like a big WhatsApp group and open WhatsApp
group where everybody can give their opinions
and talk through the threads. But Instagram,
for instance, the focus is image. So you'll
have to have a different approach because you
have to do an image for like anything you want
to promote or anything you want to share with
your audience. So definitely will have to be
somewhat so different. TikTok or Chikitalki
like Farewell pointed out. I mean, like we
said, we don't know if they're gonna allow this
to happen there, do it to the age that is allowed
to access TikTok, but again, it's video. and
it's short videos and it has to be fast and
engaging because if you don't like the video,
just scroll down to another one. It's much
faster actually and easier than Instagram. So
they would have to change everything because
each platform has a different approach and has
a different purpose as well. It's not the same
thing. Yeah, definitely. And Fernando, anything
to add there? Companies are really going to
have to change how they approach this, right?
Yeah. First thing I thought of when I heard
like they wouldn't be allowed to market on Twitter
because it's banned I was like, okay, so maybe
you get to know your do you get your brand known
by the Brazilians through sponsorship? Maybe
but that's a very saturated market right now
in Brazil like every football team probably
has by now bedding partner and betting companies
are looking like to sponsor all sorts of things
like rodeo or even markets in Brazil. So it's
a very saturated market. Like you said, there's
113 operators that have applied for a license
only in this stage of the process. Like it's
operators that want to get their license by
December. So we are sure, or probably we'll
see more companies coming into the market. Oh,
and a detail, just a detail there. Like you
said, in. like all of these companies and each
company can hold up to three brands. So I can
have one, like, I don't know, let's say Isadora
brand company, and then I can have up to three
brands under my name so I can have three different
sports betting sites operating, which is like,
it gives you already three times more than the
companies that already have applied. So it's
a lot of people. Sorry, Fiori. Yeah, so they're
going to make a very big marketing effort and
they're probably going to have to go to traditional
advertising. And that has become like a very
big focus in other regulated markets that are
saying, okay, so maybe betting companies are
being a bit too aggressive with their advertising,
with their marketing campaigns. So that may
bring a negative. uh, impact also on the industry
because there's like a fine line, uh, with
integrity and advertising of edging and everything.
So, um, that is also going to be a big challenge
if this, uh, whole ban on X doesn't go get overturned.
Yeah, you're absolutely right. We've seen that
in other markets, right? We've seen that in
North America where, you know, you've kind
of had the saturation of sports, sports sponsorships.
We've even seen it in the UK and obviously
a much more mature market where And it has led
to a lot of negative press. But things could
be actually more difficult as time goes by,
because this morning we just like heard the
news that a parliamentarian from the Labour's
party, which is the party of our president,
Lula, asked for to ban all the promotions and
marketing around sports betting. So this could
be even more difficult for us in the next couple
of months or next year. Oh wow. Yeah, but that
sounds a bit of a long shot, really. There's
a lot of initiatives like that in different
countries of Latin America, but no, not in Brazil,
but in general. Yeah, they presented the bill,
so it's just like, it's a matter of voting.
And I don't believe that it will win. Actually,
the Congress will vote in favor of it. I don't
believe that. But yeah, it's like it's just
to see that we have a lot of movements against
our industry. Yeah. And this is just another
one. Izzy, you're going to drop that bombshell
on us as I was about to wrap up. That's quite
the news story, quite the backdrop there at
the end of the show. Oh, we can do another
episode about that. Another episode, yeah. SQL,
cliffhanger. But yeah, so we should clear that
up though that it's unlikely that will get passed.
But the very fact that it's kind of circling
around the that type of regulation is being
mentioned, it's being put forward, is a sign
that the industry should probably take note
of. Definitely, 100%. Really interesting stuff.
And we could talk about this for a long period
of time. We have spoken about it for a while,
but we could continue this discussion. And one
thing for sure, I've been at a lot of SPC conferences
all over the world in the past couple of years,
and Brazil has been a hot topic. wherever you
go. So I'm sure next week in Lisbon, it's going
to be at the forefront of the agenda for many
discussions. And yeah, there's going to be a
lot of discussion around this and marketing
strategies in the Brazilian market. And I look
forward to seeing you there. And thank you
both for your insights today. And yeah, have
a great week.